Leader and Pubic support: How Citizens Structure Political Costs in the Niche of Foreign Policy

Authors

  • Igor' Jur'evich Kiselev P. G. Demidov Yaroslavl State University Author
  • Anna Gennad'evna Smirnova P. G. Demidov Yaroslavl State University Author
  • Ksenija Gennadievna Hrabrova P. G. Demidov Yaroslavl State University Author

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.18255/2412-6519-2016-3-195-204

Keywords:

foreign policy, public opinion, home policy losses

Abstract

In the article, the issue of costs, encountered by political leader when his foreign policy does not find public support, is considered. The results of empirical research, aimed to investigate the relationship between the realization of national interests in the niche of security, economic prosperity, maintenance of national identity and provision of influence on the international arena, upon one hand, and the attitude of citizens to the political course, their readiness to support it, on the other hand, are presented. The main method of research was experiment, that is embedded in public opinion survey. The analysis shows the intensity manifestation of the value of political activism in the foreign policy domain among the respondents. That is to say, they are of the opinion that political leaders should take into consideration their preferences in foreign policy decision-making. More than that, the respondents tend to influence the foreign policy decision-makers by means of domestic costs' generation through the shifts in the voting behavior. At that, the attitude to the foreign policy course and the readiness to its support were connected mainly with the consequent effects in security and provision of influence on the international arena. Perceived costs and benefits in maintenance of national identity and economic prosperity by themselves predetermine to a lesser degree the respondents' attitude to the foreign policy and readiness to support political leader.

Author Biographies

  • Igor' Jur'evich Kiselev, P. G. Demidov Yaroslavl State University
    Doctor of Sciences (Sociology), Professor of the chair of Sociology, Dean of the Faculty of Social and Political Sciences
  • Anna Gennad'evna Smirnova, P. G. Demidov Yaroslavl State University
    Candidate of political science, associate-professor of the chair of sociology
  • Ksenija Gennadievna Hrabrova, P. G. Demidov Yaroslavl State University
    Postgraduate student of the chair of sociology

References

Wlezien C., Soroka S.N. The Relationship between Public Opinion and Policy//Oxford Handbook of Political Behavior/ed. by R. Dalton, H-D. Klingemann. Oxford: Oxford University Press, 2007. Pp. 799-817. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1093/oxfordhb/9780199270125.003.0043

Киселев И. Ю., Смирнова А. Г., Храброва К. Г. Проблема генерирования внутриполитических потерь лидера представителями разных социальных групп: в поисках теоретических оснований//Социальные и гуманитарные знания. 2016. Том 2. № 1. С. 32-40.

Докторов Б. Явление Барака Обамы. Социологические наблюдения. М.: Институт Фонда «Общественное мнение»; Издательство «Европа», 2011. С. 229-238.

Интерес к внешней политике: мониторинг. Как оцениваются результаты российской внешней политики? 17 марта 2016 г. URL: http://fom.ru/Politika/12561.

Россия на международной арене: оценка внешней политики. 06.05.2016. URL: http://bd.fom.ru/report/map/dominant/dom_1716/d171606.

Fearon J. D. Domestic Political Audiences and the Escalation of International Disputes//American Political Science Review. 1994. Vol. 88. № 3. Pp. 577-592. DOI: https://doi.org/10.2307/2944796

Goemans H. War and Punishment: the Causes of War Termination and the First World War. Princeton, NJ: Princeton University Press, 2000. 355 p. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1515/9781400823956

Berejikian J. D. International Relations under Risk: Framing Risk Choice. Albany, NY: State University of New York Press, 2004. Pp. 65-80.

Berejikian J. D. International Relations under Risk: Framing Risk Choice. Albany, NY: State University of New York Press, 2004. P. 70. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1353/book12659

Концепция внешней политики Российской Федерации. URL: http://static.kremlin.ru/media/events/files/41d447a0ce9f5a96bdc3.pdf.

Страхи и тревоги. Что больше всего тревожит россиян в повседневной жизни, в жизни страны и мира? 16 апреля 2016 г. URL: http://fom.ru/Nastroeniya/12596.

Индекс страхов. URL: http://wciom.ru/news/ratings/indeks_straxov/

Шестопал Е.Б. Путин 3.0: общество и власть в новейшей истории России: монография/под ред. Е.Б. Шестопал. М.: АРГАМАК-МЕДИА, 2015. С. 111.

Gilens M. An Anatomy of Survey-Based Experiments//Navigating Public Opinion. Polls, Policy and the Future of American Democracy/Ed by J. Manza, F.L. Cook, B.I. Page. Oxford: Oxford University Press, 2002. Pp. 232-250. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1093/oso/9780195149333.003.0014

Киселев И. Ю., Смирнова А. Г., Храброва К. Г. Последствия внешнеполитического курса как фактор внутриполитических потерь лидера//Власть. 2015. № 10. С. 42-49.

Downloads

Published

2016-09-15

Issue

Section

Sociology