Paradoxes of the methodology of modern political science: possibilities and limits

Abstract

The article attempts to consider the reasons for limiting the analytical and predictive capabilities of the methodology of modern political science. On the basis of various approaches, the factors that hinder the objective analysis and forecasting of the political are analyzed. The ontological, epistemological and praxiological aspects of the analysis of this problem are presented. It is noted that the formation of a global system is accompanied by the emergence of new properties, including interdependence, increased turbulence and chaotic behavior, cascading effects of changes, the growth of fluctuations and emergent manifestations that increase uncertainty and instability. At the same time, the research apparatus of the methodology of political science does not reflect the complexity, dynamics and diversity of the new emerging interconnections of the open global system, which necessitates its revision, activation of its further development, transition to a new constructivist paradigm. The article examines the importance of interdisciplinarity in the formation of new areas of political science, as well as the role of transdisciplinarity in the formation of new research strategies. The impossibility of forecasting based on successful models and methods in the past, extrapolation of the system of causal relationships of local systems in a state of relative stability to the prediction of open unstable systems is noted. The praxeological analysis allowed us to consider the features of the process of interpreting the results of analytical and predictive activities, the importance of the interest of political actors in the implementation of the results of scientific activity in political practice.